Three independent models. One strictly constrained portfolio. Evaluated blindly from 2022 to 2026.
A trend-following monolith designed to capture secular market cycles. It enters long positions when the asset reclaims its 200-day Simple Moving Average. It ignores intraday noise entirely, holding positions for weeks or months.
| Year | Long P&L | Short P&L | Net Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | +42.1% | -12.4% | +29.7% |
| 2024 | +81.5% | +15.2% | +96.7% |
| 2025 | -8.4% | +34.8% | +26.4% |
| 2026 (YTD) | +18.2% | +5.1% | +23.3% |
A bi-directional breakout system that adapts to the macro regime. It shorts the breakdown of a 48-hour low during macro BEAR conditions (Price < SMA200), and longs the breakout of a 7-day high during macro BULL conditions.
A rare but highly profitable contrarian strategy. It monitors the perpetual futures funding rate. When the rate hits its absolute negative cap while the 200-day SMA is actively declining, it signals a "deep-bear capitulation" event, triggering an aggressive short-squeeze counter-trade.
The complete logic for all three models is available on GitHub.